MMA Betting – Looking At The Odds For UFC On FX 1
Your favorite MMA blog will probably have some picks for Saturday’s UFC show on FX, the first for the company, but we’re here to explain why the odds look the way that they do. Here is a look at the main card.
Pat Barry (10-4) vs. Christian Morecraft (9-2) – Heavyweight
Barry is favored at -165 at BetOnline, while Morecraft comes in at +145 in a meeting of two heavyweights looking to avoid a pink slip; Barry has lost three of his last four, while Morecraft has dropped two of his last three. The odds are indicative of these two being very close on the UFC scale and it’ll probably be a short fight as well as Barry’s three losses as of late have come by KO or submissions (twice), while Morecraft has been knocked out twice.
Mike Easton (11-1) vs. Jared Papazian (14-6) – Bantamweight
Easton comes into this match as a -340 favorite, while Papazian is rated at +285 and players that use price per head sports services would likely chalk up these odds to the fact that it is Papazian’s UFC debut, while Easton has his debut in the octagon in October, even though it was his first fight in two years. This will be a huge step up in competition for Papazian, and sportsbooks are skeptical because he has only really fought in the lower levels of mixed martial arts, but that also makes him a dangerous underdog.
Duane Ludwig (21-11) vs. Josh Neer (32-10-1) – Welterweight
This is a close match to call for linesmakers, much like this weekend’s Super Bowl odds think it’ll be a tight game between the New York Giants and the San Francisco 49ers. Ludwig is rated at -105, while Neer is listed at -115, and Neer is slightly favored because of a five-match winning streak, including his return to the UFC in October. Ludwig has won two in a row, both by decisions, while all five during Neer’s streak have come via stoppage (including four TKOs). The winner will likely get a shot on a pay-per-view in the near future.
Melvin Guillard (29-9-2, 1 NC) vs. Jim Miller (20-3) – Lightweight
The main event features two fighters looking to move up in a loaded 155-pound division, with Miller favored at -170 and Guillard comes in at +150. You would have to give Miller the edge simply based on styles; Miller is a black belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu with two “Submission of the Night” honors, while eight of Guillard’s nine losses have come via submission. Guillard is extremely explosive, but he can also be overconfident, which cost him dearly against Joe Lauzon in October. However, with his striking power, Guillard is a dangerous underdog in your online betting book.












